For tonight’s game between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets, game 4 predictive models estimate that the Mets have a slight edge with a 54% chance of winning. The Phillies are given a 46% chance. This projection factors in starting pitchers José Quintana for the Mets and Ranger Suárez for the Phillies. The Mets also have a 65% chance of covering the run line (+1.5), and the total runs line is set at 7.5 .
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I’m rolling with the Cincinnati Reds in this matchup between the Cleveland Guardians.
The model has protected them to win by a margin greater than what the bookie expects, plus the market agrees.
Pick: Cincinnati Reds +140